Additional Lines in the K Series of Molybdenum and the by Davis B., Purks H.

By Davis B., Purks H.

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Example text

A s M i n s k y h i m s e l f s a y s , e a c h s t a t e n u r t u r e s f o r c e s t h a t l e a d t o its o w n d e s t r u c t i o n ( M i n s k y , 1 9 7 5 , p. 1 2 8 ) . I n t h r e e w o r d s , t h e p a r a d o x o f t r a n q u i l l i t y s a y s t h a t stability is d e s t a b i l i z i n g ( M i n s k y , 1 9 8 2 , p. 2 6 ) . A p p l i e d t o a m o n e t a r y e c o n o m y , t h i s i m p l i e s t h a t a s t r i n g o f s u c c e s s f u l f i n a n c i a l o p e r a t i o n s w i l l i n d u c e b a n k s t o i n d u l g e i n e v e r r i s k i e r f i n a n c i a l s t r u c t u r e s .

W h a t t h i s i m p l i e d w a s t h a t a g e n t s k n e w t h e o n e a n d o n l y t r u e m o d e l o f t h e e c o n o m y ( w h i c h c o n v e n i e n t l y w a s s t i p u l a t e d a s i d e n t i c a l w i t h n e o c l a s s i c a l m i c r o e c o n o m i c s ) . It is t r u e t h a t b e h a v i o u r a l e c o n o m i s t s h a v e t r i e d t o m o d i f y t h i s b y i n t r o d u c i n g h e t e r o g e n e o u s a g e n t s i n t o t h e r e a l m o f e x p e c t a t i o n s , t r a d e r s a n d c h a r t i s t s w h o r e l y o n t r e n d s , a l o n g s i d e p r e s u m e d t r u l y r a t i o n a l i n v e s t o r s w h o still l o o k a t t h e f u n d a m e n t a l s , b u t t h e y h a v e m a d e little h e a d w a y i n t h e m o r e r e p u t a b l e j o u r n a l s .

W h a t e v e r realistic f e a t u r e is i n t r o d u c e d i n t h e m o d e l , t h e a s s u m e d u n i q u e n e s s o f t h e n a t u r a l r a t e o f u n e m p l o y m e n t w i l l r e m o v e a n y r o o m f o r a l t e r n a t i v e p o l i c i e s . T h e s a m e c a n b e s a i d a b o u t t h e n a t u r a l r a t e o f i n t e r e s t : it f o r b i d s a n y i m a g i n a t i o n i n c e n t r a l b a n k p o l i c y . S c a r c i t y j u s t i f i e s s u p p l y a n d d e m a n d a n a l y s i s .

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